Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Open Source Insurgency

I've been reading this great blog I found recently called Global Guerrillas: Networked tribes, systems disruption, and the emerging bazaar of violence. Resilient Communities, decentralized platforms, and self-organizing futures. By John Robb .  It is a virtual goldmine of information and forecasting for the brave new world ahead of us.  He wrote an essay a few years back about the decentralization of security and what that would look like.  It sure looks like to me what a lot of WNs have been saying only in slightly different terms

Here's an excerpt from the essay Security: Power to the People..

Security will become a function of where you live and whom you work for, much as health care is allocated already. Wealthy individuals and multinational corporations will be the first to bail out of our collective system, opting instead to hire private military companies, such as Blackwater and Triple Canopy, to protect their homes and facilities and establish a protective perimeter around daily life. Parallel transportation networks--evolving out of the time-share aircraft companies such as Warren Buffett's NetJets--will cater to this group, leapfrogging its members from one secure, well-appointed lily pad to the next. Members of the middle class will follow, taking matters into their own hands by forming suburban collectives to share the costs of security--as they do now with education--and shore up delivery of critical services. These "armored suburbs" will deploy and maintain backup generators and communications links; they will be patrolled by civilian police auxiliaries that have received corporate training and boast their own state-of-the-art emergency-response systems. As for those without the means to build their own defense, they will have to make do with the remains of the national system. They will gravitate to America's cities, where they will be subject to ubiquitous surveillance and marginal or nonexistent services. For the poor, there will be no other refuge.

Sure sounds like the scenario assumes a National Government abdicating much of it's power except for in the cities, which we know will be mostly dark and non-white. This means that no longer can a Federal Government dictate who lives in your community or what you must accept by decree.

As I've been going over the blog I found this gem in the comments section of this essay and it reflects my strategic thinking on insurgency tactics:

I think the 4th gen solution to airpower dominance of the nation state doesn't rest with sams but rather in a python like embrace of airpower's logistics chain. Fighter jets and bombers are complicated platforms to maintain and supply. A competent 4th gen organization will try to deny the nation state's control of the air by attacking airbases, fuel and arms depots and even the very manufacturing facilities of the aircraft and their critical components. A stinger manpad will run in the usd80k-usd100k range, for the same amount i'm sure some multinational 4th gen group could ram a jetliner into the f-22 assembly line putting back the program significantly. With sophisticated systems like fighter jets there must be hundreds of bottlenecks that could be targeted. Remember 4th gen is strategically attractive and as we see in iraq there are already shortages developing , imagine how much worse they could be if the opfor were targetting the full length and breadth of the logistic network all the way back to the factory floor or even all the way back to economic system funding the R&D.

The Great Satan has never had it's supply lines seriously challenged ever and is the secret to it's massive power.  Take out even one aspect of the supply chain and they cannot exercise their will over us.

Without air power, without drones, our enemy is beatable.  We can win our White Ethnostate as these communities coalesce out of a common need for defense. 

I can't wait.  I hope you'll check this blog, very thought provoking material and something I hope every aspiring insurgent can absorb and act upon.  We can win, but not through the current system, notwithstanding the Hunter Wallace types, bless his heart.

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